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Paxton Surges as Cornyn Falters; Runoff Shaping Up as Referendum on Betrayal of Gun Owners

The Republican Senate runoff between Attorney General Ken Paxton and Senator John Cornyn is quickly turning into a political nightmare for the establishment.

After dumping an estimated $100 million trying to avoid a runoff, Cornyn still couldn’t close the deal—limping into a virtual tie with Paxton.

Now, heading into a low-turnout runoff that historically favors more conservative, more motivated voters, the momentum is clearly on Paxton’s side.

Even Trump May Not Save Cornyn

For weeks, Cornyn allies have clung to one last hope: a Trump endorsement.

But even that may not be enough.

Because this race isn’t just about personalities.

It’s about record.

And Cornyn’s record is clear.

From backing Biden’s Bipartisan Safer Communities Act to expanding red flag-style programs, Cornyn has repeatedly sided with the gun confiscation agenda—leaving a trail of broken trust with Texas gun owners.

Money and Momentum Slipping

Behind the scenes, there are growing signs Cornyn’s biggest advantage—money—may not hold.

After spending massive sums just to force a runoff, donors are now asking:

Is Cornyn worth another investment?

Without that financial edge, his path forward becomes even narrower.

The “Electability” Argument Falls Apart

For months, Cornyn has told voters they need him to win in November.

But now even left-leaning polls claim Democrat James Talarico is leading both Cornyn and Paxton in hypothetical matchups—undercutting Cornyn’s core argument.

Texas Gun Rights isn’t buying it.

“These are the same types of polls we’ve seen before,” said Chris McNutt, President of Texas Gun Rights. “They’re designed to shape narratives, not reflect reality.”

The Truth About Talarico

Talarico is being sold as a moderate.

But his record tells a different story.

From opposing Constitutional Carry to backing universal background checks and red flag laws, Talarico is far more radical than Beto O’Rourke ever was.

The difference?

Beto said it out loud on a national stage.

Talarico hasn’t had to—yet.

But that’s about to change.

Because Texas Gun Rights is making one thing clear:

They plan to expose Talarico—and every gun grabber on the ballot—before November. And voters aren’t yet aware of the treasure trove of bad policy positions from Talarico’s time in the Texas House.

What Happens Next

As the runoff approaches, the lines are being drawn.

On one side: a grassroots-backed candidate with momentum

On the other: an entrenched incumbent with a record gun owners haven’t forgotten

Because in a runoff election driven by conviction—not complacency—
records matter.

And Cornyn’s record is catching up with him.

Help Texas Gun Rights expose the gun confiscation agenda and hold politicians accountable—chip in now to fuel the fight.

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